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Thread: AIG gets taxpayer bailout...BONUS?

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  1. #1
    Join Date
    Jul 2006
    Location
    Lancaster, PA - USA
    Posts
    1,569
    Quote Originally Posted by moosmom View Post
    Puckstop,

    How about we agree to disagree. Fair?? Friends??
    Fair Dinkum.
    "Unlike most of you, I am not a nut."

    - Homer Simpson


    "If the enemy opens the door, you must race in."

    - Sun Tzu - Art of War

  2. #2
    Join Date
    Apr 2001
    Location
    South Hero Vermont
    Posts
    4,746

    An interesting timeline

    I found this on the internet and don't know how accurate it is or is not, but none the less, it makes me feel a tad better, knowing that this banking fiasco and financial meltdown was just about due!

    A sample of great financial and economic crises since 1870:

    2008-09

    Global credit crisis arising from U.S. mortgage markets

    1999 to 2002

    Argentina economic and banking crisis; GDP fell 15% in two years

    2001

    Tech bubble bursts

    1998

    Russian ruble crisis

    Collapse of Long Term Capital Management fund

    Japan bank rescue

    1997-98

    Asian currency crisis

    1995

    Mexico peso crisis

    World Bank bailout of Argentina's banks

    1989-93

    Finland's per capita GDP falls 12.4% in wake of Berlin Wall falling

    1991

    Japan real estate bubble bursts

    Early 90s

    Swedish banking crisis

    1989-91

    U.S. Savings and Loan debacle, rescue cost 5% of U.S. GDP

    1944-47

    U.S. per capita GDP contracts 16.5%

    1939-45

    Second World War

    1929-33

    Great Depression: U.S. per capita GDP drops 29%;

    Canada's falls 34.8%

    1918-21

    U.S. financial panic; 11.8% drop in per capita GDP

    1906-08

    Failure of U.S. banking trusts, per capita GDP falls 10.5%

    1914-18

    First World War

    1893-97

    U.S. recession and banking failures

    1873-78

    U.S. recession and banking failures

    1874-78

    11.7% contraction in per capita GDP in Canada

    - - -

  3. #3
    Join Date
    Nov 2002
    Location
    Westchester Cty, NY
    Posts
    8,738
    I see your point about economic booms & busts. I think some things make this one different (all this strictly my lay opinion):

    1. I thought the option ARMs were so much rope a number of years ago (as in give someone enough, they'll hang themselves.)

    2. Point #1 was exacerbated by greedy brokers writing fraudulent mortgage paper.

    3. This fraudulent paper gets mixed in with perfectly legit, albeit risky, other subprime paper and gets sold to a hedge fund.

    4. Said hedge fund is insured by AIG.

    5. Housing prices crash, and ARMs reset, setting off the detonator!

    6. Banks become super risk-averse, not lending. Credit enters an Ice Age.

    7. The whole economy is dragged down by this mess.

    Here's why I think the "bailouts" are the best of a bunch of lousy options: a. Very early data suggest that they may be working. b. This won't be the first time (S&L meltdown, anyone?) that the Fed has had to step in.

    Maybe my crystal ball has a bog divot in it. But I think letting the economy "right itself" may take a lot longer (like Japan); but Americans do have a different temperament, and the oil shocks and recession have demonstrated that we can change our habits.

    OK, I've rambled on WAY too long!
    I've been finally defrosted by cassiesmom!
    "Not my circus, not my monkeys!"-Polish proverb

  4. #4
    Join Date
    Sep 2002
    Location
    Kentucky, LAND OF THE EASILY AMUSED
    Posts
    25,224
    1998

    Russian ruble crisis

    Barney Rubble Crisis-BamBam and Pebbles caught playing doctor.
    The secret of life is nothing at all
    -faith hill

    Hey you, don't tell me there's no hope at all -
    Together we stand
    Divided we fall.

    I laugh, therefore? I am.

    No humans were hurt during the posting of this message.

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