I found this on the internet and don't know how accurate it is or is not, but none the less, it makes me feel a tad better, knowing that this banking fiasco and financial meltdown was just about due!
A sample of great financial and economic crises since 1870:
2008-09
Global credit crisis arising from U.S. mortgage markets
1999 to 2002
Argentina economic and banking crisis; GDP fell 15% in two years
2001
Tech bubble bursts
1998
Russian ruble crisis
Collapse of Long Term Capital Management fund
Japan bank rescue
1997-98
Asian currency crisis
1995
Mexico peso crisis
World Bank bailout of Argentina's banks
1989-93
Finland's per capita GDP falls 12.4% in wake of Berlin Wall falling
1991
Japan real estate bubble bursts
Early 90s
Swedish banking crisis
1989-91
U.S. Savings and Loan debacle, rescue cost 5% of U.S. GDP
1944-47
U.S. per capita GDP contracts 16.5%
1939-45
Second World War
1929-33
Great Depression: U.S. per capita GDP drops 29%;
Canada's falls 34.8%
1918-21
U.S. financial panic; 11.8% drop in per capita GDP
1906-08
Failure of U.S. banking trusts, per capita GDP falls 10.5%
1914-18
First World War
1893-97
U.S. recession and banking failures
1873-78
U.S. recession and banking failures
1874-78
11.7% contraction in per capita GDP in Canada
- - -
I see your point about economic booms & busts. I think some things make this one different (all this strictly my lay opinion):
1. I thought the option ARMs were so much rope a number of years ago (as in give someone enough, they'll hang themselves.)
2. Point #1 was exacerbated by greedy brokers writing fraudulent mortgage paper.
3. This fraudulent paper gets mixed in with perfectly legit, albeit risky, other subprime paper and gets sold to a hedge fund.
4. Said hedge fund is insured by AIG.
5. Housing prices crash, and ARMs reset, setting off the detonator!
6. Banks become super risk-averse, not lending. Credit enters an Ice Age.
7. The whole economy is dragged down by this mess.
Here's why I think the "bailouts" are the best of a bunch of lousy options: a. Very early data suggest that they may be working. b. This won't be the first time (S&L meltdown, anyone?) that the Fed has had to step in.
Maybe my crystal ball has a bog divot in it. But I think letting the economy "right itself" may take a lot longer (like Japan); but Americans do have a different temperament, and the oil shocks and recession have demonstrated that we can change our habits.
OK, I've rambled on WAY too long!![]()
I've been finally defrosted by cassiesmom!
"Not my circus, not my monkeys!"-Polish proverb
1998
Russian ruble crisis
Barney Rubble Crisis-BamBam and Pebbles caught playing doctor.
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